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-   -   Does NBME 18 over-predict? (https://www.usmle-forums.com/usmle-step-1-forum/289585-does-nbme-18-over-predict.html)

PowerDan 07-12-2016 12:59 PM

Does NBME 18 over-predict?
 
Can anyone who has their actual step score in hand share how well form 18 correlates with the real thing?

I am just wondering if it over-predicts because I got a 3-digit score of 269 on NBME 18 - quite a leap from from my other NBMEs.

My lowest was 251 on NBME 12, taken a few days back.

Has anyone else received a significantly higher score on Form 18 compared to all other forms/their actual step 1 score?

acehim 07-13-2016 02:30 PM

No self assessment is a 100% predictor but you can expect your score to be -10 to +10 range of your predicted

tps89 07-13-2016 04:20 PM

It overpredicted for me.
NBME 18 (1 day before exam) - 215
NBME 17 (2 days before exam day) - 222
Real score: 205


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